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October 14, 2005

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Doug Lichtman

Randy -

Do you think the FCC should get involved in this? Back when cable was first rolling out, regulators worried that cable would erode viewership of and support for broadcast television. Thus, much of early cable regulation was designed to preserve a robust broadcast market, and indeed today we still have a lot of law that can only be explained as a life jacket for advertiser-supported broadcast tv.

If television shows start being sold a la carte, won't some of the best shows defect from broadcast, earning more money by selling each episode directly to consumers? Is that progress, or something to worry about? (As you likely know, back in the early days of cable, Congress passed a law that in essence forbid the NFL from putting the Super Bowl on pay-per-view; should we similarly preserve them there Desparate Homemakers?)

Gus

Prof. Picker,

Ahh, now this blog thing makes more sense. It is to papers and books as the razor is to the blade.

But more seriously. I have often wondered about the differences in the use of price discrimination between the movie and recording industries; this seems to fit the broadcast industry into that rubric. The movie industry uses tiered release schedules and formats to capture as much producer surplus as possible (releasing first to select theaters, then general domestic, then foreign, then PPV, then DVD, then broadcast). That is, from narrow expensive releases to broad inexpensive releases. The recording industry uses a somewhat opposite model (releasing to radio broadcast first, then to album, then to concerts); though their model might be better described as flat, releasing in every format in no particular order.

This move brings ABC firmly into the price discrimination rubric. They now have three release formats (broadcast, iPod, DVD), each with a different schedule and each meant to capture a different piece of the market pie. (It is particularly interesting to note that their shows are being released to DVD shortly at the close of the previous season, which suggests that DVD production is being undertaken as part of the initial production process; that is, it must be lucrative). But I am not sure how these releases relate to either other industry. For instance, for broadcast, the broadest/cheapest release is the first, the initial broadcast; but unlike movies (which follows the opposite model) and radio, the consumer is locked into a particular time slot to consume this release format. In fact, I see ABC and Apple's move as competing most directly with TiVO.

And given this last comment, and your comment about Apple's iTunes profits, I am drawn to ask whether Apple is becoming a media arbitrageur of sorts? They are, arguably, creating new, lower priced consumption markets and selling on the different prices between the new and the old. It just happens that they are also making a killing through the creation of the new market, too.

Any thoughts? Do you think that these considerations have factored into ABC's decision? Or is this more a technological inertia based development? And, perhaps of most import, could the differences between the price discrimination models used by the movie, radio, and now broadcast, industries shed some light on each industry's reception of Apple, and of technology generally?

--Gus

slevmore

Most examples of Razors & Blades involve exclusivity; the blades only fit that company's razor (or the other way around). The railroad builds lodges in the national parks, but most Americans can get there only by rail. Where there is no such link, there is less vertical integration, isn't there? Dell assembles computers, but it does not get in the business of software, and EA does not sell computers. Apple is not the only example of advanced R&B where the blades/music/video can be used with other hardware, but maybe there is something more to it?

Bill Sjostrom

One big difference between Apple's razors and blades as compared to Gillette's is that Apple's razors wear out but its blades do not. The opposite is true for Gillette. I'm on my third iPod in five years because the battery lasts for only two years and Apple charges $100 to replace it. Instead of paying the $100 I've concluded it makes more sense to put it towards the latest iPod. As for Gillette, I've used the same Sensor razor for at least 10 years (incidentally, Target now sells private-label blades for the sensor at a quarter of the price for the real things).

Various companies have introduced products competing with the iPod, but I have not even considered them. This is because I've spent hundreds of dollars and a lot of time on assembling a collection of iPod blades (which are still as good as the day I bought them), and these blades do not work in the competing products. Hence, unless I'm willing to scrap a large portion of my music collection to switch to a different player, I'm locked into buying iPods indefinitely. Feels like monopoly power to me. Someone has brought a suit. See http://www.out-law.com/page-6154.

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